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Red80
742120.5
463539.7
59487.3
Blue42
634820.2
347823.2
58876.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions745102040601001201408042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.70.3
39.439.7
Auto8.4
Teleop20.2
End11.0
red by 16.5
23.20.2
23.423.2
Auto6.7
Teleop11.1
End5.4
Second
20.50.3
20.220.5
Auto7.8
Teleop9.7
End3.0
red by 0.3
20.20.2
20.420.2
Auto6.2
Teleop9.8
End4.2
Third
5948
#37
7.30.3
7.07.3
Auto1.9
Teleop4.2
End1.2
red by 0.9
5887
#38
6.40.2
6.66.4
Auto2.6
Teleop2.1
End1.7