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Red34
463539.7
44037.2
47318.0
Blue13
664711.8
56964.7
77255.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313010152025354045503413

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.70.5
13.414.0
Auto8.4
Teleop20.2
End11.0
red by 27.8
11.81.7
11.59.8
Auto3.7
Teleop5.3
End2.8
Second
8.00.5
7.58.0
Auto3.3
Teleop4.0
End0.7
red by 2.2
7725
#14
5.71.7
8.06.3
Auto1.7
Teleop1.6
End2.5
Third
4403
#22
7.20.5
8.28.7
Auto2.2
Teleop4.6
End0.3
red by 2.4
5696
#36
4.71.7
8.87.1
Auto2.0
Teleop2.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsMissed23%Hangar oddsMissed