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Red4
51334.3
58876.4
60170.7
Blue6
66760.3
335410.6
47234.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24230102030405046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5887
#38
6.42.0
6.54.5
Auto2.6
Teleop2.1
End1.7
blue by 4.2
10.61.8
11.59.6
Auto3.8
Teleop4.0
End2.9
Second
5133
#28
4.32.0
6.44.5
Auto0.1
Teleop3.1
End1.1
blue by 0.5
4723
#12
4.81.8
7.05.2
Auto1.5
Teleop1.7
End1.6
Third
6017
#31
0.72.0
8.96.9
Auto1.1
Teleop-0.5
End0.1
red by 0.4
6676
#33
0.31.8
3.92.1
Auto1.8
Teleop-0.8
End-0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsMissed23%Hangar oddsMissed