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Red27
617010.0
44037.2
22838.1
Blue47
463539.7
34724.7
59597.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26280102040502747

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6170
#13
10.00.3
7.27.5
Auto4.2
Teleop3.2
End2.7
blue by 29.6
39.72.3
14.016.3
Auto8.4
Teleop20.2
End11.0
Second
2283
#24
8.10.3
8.89.0
Auto3.3
Teleop2.3
End2.6
red by 0.7
5959
#11
7.52.3
5.17.4
Auto2.5
Teleop1.8
End3.2
Third
4403
#22
7.20.3
8.79.0
Auto2.2
Teleop4.6
End0.3
red by 2.4
3472
#25
4.72.3
6.99.2
Auto1.3
Teleop2.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsMissed20%Hangar oddsMissed