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Red14
37944.8
82442.0
477510.9
Blue26
669412.9
87344.1
742120.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2331010405060701426

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4775
#18
10.91.0
12.211.2
Auto2.7
Teleop4.3
End4.0
blue by 9.5
20.50.7
11.310.6
Auto7.8
Teleop9.7
End3.0
Second
3794
#21
4.81.0
3.52.6
Auto0.8
Teleop1.7
End2.3
blue by 8.1
12.90.7
10.19.4
Auto3.6
Teleop5.4
End3.9
Third
8244
#40
2.01.0
6.95.9
Auto1.2
Teleop0.8
End0.1
blue by 2.1
8734
#34
4.10.7
6.86.1
Auto1.6
Teleop2.7
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
16%Hangar oddsMissed28%Hangar oddsMissed