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Red8
82933.8
37944.8
60170.7
Blue60
34724.7
634820.2
664711.8
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113202040506070860

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3794
#21
4.80.5
2.62.0
Auto0.8
Teleop1.7
End2.3
blue by 15.4
20.22.7
11.113.9
Auto6.2
Teleop9.8
End4.2
Second
8293
#26
3.80.5
5.14.5
Auto1.9
Teleop2.7
End-0.9
blue by 8.0
11.82.7
8.010.8
Auto3.7
Teleop5.3
End2.8
Third
6017
#31
0.70.5
5.14.6
Auto1.1
Teleop-0.5
End0.1
blue by 4.0
3472
#25
4.72.7
8.210.9
Auto1.3
Teleop2.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
13%Hangar oddsMissed13%Hangar oddsMissed