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Red64
347823.2
47234.8
393312.5
Blue22
87418.6
56964.7
44037.2
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions401801030506070806422

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.22.4
22.424.8
Auto6.7
Teleop11.1
End5.4
red by 14.6
8741
#32
8.60.2
9.69.8
Auto1.9
Teleop3.7
End3.0
Second
3933
#10
12.52.4
9.211.5
Auto3.4
Teleop5.2
End4.0
red by 5.3
4403
#22
7.20.2
7.17.4
Auto2.2
Teleop4.6
End0.3
Third
4723
#12
4.82.4
3.15.5
Auto1.5
Teleop1.7
End1.6
red by 0.1
5696
#36
4.70.2
3.23.4
Auto2.0
Teleop2.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
22%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsEarned15%Hangar oddsMissed