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Red34
67026.6
47824.6
335410.6
Blue14
82933.8
44037.2
683210.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1927010405060703414

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
10.60.7
8.49.2
Auto3.8
Teleop4.0
End2.9
red by 0.5
10.11.2
10.69.4
Auto1.9
Teleop1.6
End6.6
Second
6702
#20
6.60.7
6.57.2
Auto3.5
Teleop2.3
End0.8
blue by 0.6
4403
#22
7.21.2
7.15.9
Auto2.2
Teleop4.6
End0.3
Third
4782
#35
4.60.7
4.35.1
Auto1.3
Teleop2.4
End0.8
red by 0.8
8293
#26
3.81.2
7.15.9
Auto1.9
Teleop2.7
End-0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
13%Hangar oddsMissed26%Hangar oddsMissed