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Red14
34724.7
47318.0
87344.1
Blue12
59597.5
35106.6
58876.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1817051015202530351412

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8.00.3
5.55.2
Auto3.3
Teleop4.0
End0.7
red by 0.5
5959
#11
7.50.4
7.47.0
Auto2.5
Teleop1.8
End3.2
Second
3472
#25
4.70.3
8.48.1
Auto1.3
Teleop2.1
End1.3
blue by 1.8
3510
#23
6.60.4
5.55.0
Auto1.9
Teleop1.9
End2.7
Third
8734
#34
4.10.3
2.92.6
Auto1.6
Teleop2.7
End-0.2
blue by 2.3
5887
#38
6.40.4
3.12.6
Auto2.6
Teleop2.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsMissed15%Hangar oddsMissed