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Red59
51334.3
56964.7
463539.7
Blue33
634820.2
87344.1
61064.7
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45150204060805933

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.71.3
32.333.6
Auto8.4
Teleop20.2
End11.0
red by 19.5
20.21.5
14.115.6
Auto6.2
Teleop9.8
End4.2
Second
5696
#36
4.71.3
3.34.6
Auto2.0
Teleop2.0
End0.7
Level
6106
#39
4.71.5
1.63.1
Auto2.6
Teleop0.1
End2.0
Third
5133
#28
4.31.3
3.04.3
Auto0.1
Teleop3.1
End1.1
red by 0.2
8734
#34
4.11.5
2.64.1
Auto1.6
Teleop2.7
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
21%Cargo oddsMissed5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsMissed10%Hangar oddsMissed