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Red19
59324.5
61064.7
58876.4
Blue24
37944.8
66065.0
664711.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1223030405060701924

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5887
#38
6.40.5
4.75.2
Auto2.6
Teleop2.1
End1.7
blue by 5.4
11.80.3
11.211.5
Auto3.7
Teleop5.3
End2.8
Second
6106
#39
4.70.6
4.24.7
Auto2.6
Teleop0.1
End2.0
blue by 0.3
6606
#27
5.00.3
4.65.0
Auto0.3
Teleop3.0
End1.7
Third
5932
#16
4.50.6
3.94.5
Auto1.7
Teleop3.2
End-0.4
blue by 0.2
3794
#21
4.80.3
4.54.8
Auto0.8
Teleop1.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
7%Hangar oddsMissed5%Hangar oddsMissed