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Red22
61064.7
669412.9
59487.3
Blue25
82933.8
57164.5
47318.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions232701020405060702225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.90.0
10.110.1
Auto3.6
Teleop5.4
End3.9
red by 4.9
8.00.4
8.07.6
Auto3.3
Teleop4.0
End0.7
Second
5948
#37
7.30.0
6.56.5
Auto1.9
Teleop4.2
End1.2
red by 2.9
5716
#15
4.50.4
9.79.2
Auto2.6
Teleop0.7
End1.2
Third
6106
#39
4.70.0
5.65.6
Auto2.6
Teleop0.1
End2.0
red by 0.9
8293
#26
3.80.4
7.36.9
Auto1.9
Teleop2.7
End-0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsMissed18%Hangar oddsMissed