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Red74
634820.2
347823.2
58876.4
Blue23
664711.8
335410.6
47824.6
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5725040801001207423

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.20.6
23.023.6
Auto6.7
Teleop11.1
End5.4
red by 11.4
11.80.1
12.011.9
Auto3.7
Teleop5.3
End2.8
Second
20.20.6
20.020.6
Auto6.2
Teleop9.8
End4.2
red by 9.6
10.60.1
10.810.7
Auto3.8
Teleop4.0
End2.9
Third
5887
#38
6.40.5
6.36.8
Auto2.6
Teleop2.1
End1.7
red by 1.9
4782
#35
4.60.1
4.84.7
Auto1.3
Teleop2.4
End0.8