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Red60
634820.2
347823.2
58876.4
Blue24
664711.8
335410.6
47824.6
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5924040801001206024

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.20.2
23.623.8
Auto6.7
Teleop11.1
End5.4
red by 11.4
11.80.1
11.911.8
Auto3.7
Teleop5.3
End2.8
Second
20.20.2
20.620.8
Auto6.2
Teleop9.8
End4.2
red by 9.6
10.60.1
10.710.6
Auto3.8
Teleop4.0
End2.9
Third
5887
#38
6.40.2
6.87.0
Auto2.6
Teleop2.1
End1.7
red by 1.9
4782
#35
4.60.1
4.74.6
Auto1.3
Teleop2.4
End0.8