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Red8
58742.8
64834.0
57058.7
Blue23
66054.5
82563.9
473514.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2521010304050607080823

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8.72.1
10.48.3
Auto2.0
Teleop5.2
End1.5
blue by 5.4
14.10.3
9.49.6
Auto4.4
Teleop4.2
End5.5
Second
6483
#40
4.02.1
4.22.1
Auto1.6
Teleop1.2
End1.1
blue by 0.5
6605
#25
4.50.3
6.06.3
Auto3.3
Teleop0.1
End1.0
Third
5874
#39
2.82.1
8.46.3
Auto0.8
Teleop2.9
End-1.0
blue by 1.2
8256
#31
3.90.3
5.25.5
Auto3.0
Teleop-0.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsMissed14%Hangar oddsMissed