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Red52
66054.5
347832.0
70375.0
Blue6
71026.1
46033.8
35276.6
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41180103050607080526

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.01.1
26.027.1
Auto8.0
Teleop17.2
End6.8
red by 25.4
3527
#26
6.61.6
5.43.8
Auto1.8
Teleop2.7
End2.1
Second
7037
#15
5.01.8
3.45.2
Auto2.5
Teleop-0.9
End3.5
blue by 1.1
7102
#14
6.11.6
8.16.6
Auto2.4
Teleop0.6
End3.0
Third
6605
#25
4.51.8
6.38.1
Auto3.3
Teleop0.1
End1.0
red by 0.6
4603
#38
3.81.6
6.44.9
Auto0.7
Teleop1.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
26%Hangar oddsEarned13%Hangar oddsMissed