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Red16
53124.3
44019.5
70183.0
Blue20
76698.9
71026.1
82914.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132601020304050601620

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4401
#18
9.50.2
2.82.6
Auto3.1
Teleop2.7
End3.7
red by 0.6
8.90.3
11.911.6
Auto2.5
Teleop3.2
End3.2
Second
5312
#34
4.30.2
5.55.2
Auto1.3
Teleop0.4
End2.7
blue by 1.8
7102
#14
6.10.3
6.05.7
Auto2.4
Teleop0.6
End3.0
Third
7018
#35
3.00.2
5.65.4
Auto1.0
Teleop1.7
End0.3
blue by 1.0
8291
#21
4.00.3
4.94.6
Auto2.6
Teleop-0.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
15%Hangar oddsMissed11%Hangar oddsMissed