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Red75
435513.8
463544.2
68966.5
Blue4
85585.9
46033.8
58742.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions679020406080100120140754

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.20.8
41.041.8
Auto11.6
Teleop21.5
End11.1
red by 38.3
8558
#27
5.91.4
6.95.6
Auto2.0
Teleop2.8
End1.1
Second
4355
#11
13.81.3
11.512.8
Auto3.8
Teleop4.3
End5.7
red by 10.0
4603
#38
3.81.4
4.33.0
Auto0.7
Teleop1.8
End1.3
Third
6896
#33
6.51.3
2.74.0
Auto3.6
Teleop2.5
End0.3
red by 3.7
5874
#39
2.81.4
4.93.6
Auto0.8
Teleop2.9
End-1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
39%Cargo oddsEarned8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
31%Hangar oddsMissed13%Hangar oddsMissed