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Red22
440019.8
58742.8
61995.3
Blue32
810510.4
44019.5
665212.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282004060802232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4400
#12
19.80.2
16.015.7
Auto6.3
Teleop11.2
End2.2
red by 7.7
6652
#20
12.10.9
10.411.3
Auto4.2
Teleop6.0
End1.8
Second
6199
#32
5.30.4
5.75.3
Auto2.4
Teleop2.6
End0.2
blue by 5.1
10.40.9
7.07.9
Auto3.0
Teleop4.2
End3.1
Third
5874
#39
2.80.4
3.63.2
Auto0.8
Teleop2.9
End-1.0
blue by 6.7
4401
#18
9.50.9
2.63.5
Auto3.1
Teleop2.7
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
8%Hangar oddsMissed9%Hangar oddsMissed