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Red58
57058.7
810510.4
35276.6
Blue12
47757.3
76698.9
76874.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1824010304050605812

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
10.43.8
7.911.7
Auto3.0
Teleop4.2
End3.1
red by 1.5
8.91.4
10.08.6
Auto2.5
Teleop3.2
End3.2
Second
8.73.8
6.310.0
Auto2.0
Teleop5.2
End1.5
red by 1.3
4775
#36
7.30.9
6.75.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.1
End1.1
Third
3527
#26
6.63.8
3.67.4
Auto1.8
Teleop2.7
End2.1
red by 2.3
7687
#16
4.31.4
4.73.3
Auto1.3
Teleop0.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsEarned9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
9%Hangar oddsMissed8%Hangar oddsMissed