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Red52
347832.0
58742.8
76539.7
Blue17
35266.2
53124.3
810510.4
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46190103040506070805217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.00.5
29.129.7
Auto8.0
Teleop17.2
End6.8
red by 21.7
10.40.4
11.711.2
Auto3.0
Teleop4.2
End3.1
Second
7653
#17
9.70.8
7.78.4
Auto3.8
Teleop3.7
End2.2
red by 3.5
3526
#23
6.20.5
5.85.3
Auto1.4
Teleop2.2
End2.6
Third
5874
#39
2.80.8
3.24.0
Auto0.8
Teleop2.9
End-1.0
blue by 1.6
5312
#34
4.30.4
4.13.7
Auto1.3
Teleop0.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
21%Cargo oddsEarned6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsMissed13%Hangar oddsMissed