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Red0
58742.8
82661.3
70183.0
Blue40
44019.5
620010.0
71619.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions821030405060040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7018
#35
3.00.9
4.53.6
Auto1.0
Teleop1.7
End0.3
blue by 7.0
6200
#13
10.02.1
7.09.1
Auto2.9
Teleop3.5
End3.5
Second
5874
#39
2.80.9
4.03.2
Auto0.8
Teleop2.9
End-1.0
blue by 6.7
4401
#18
9.52.1
4.26.3
Auto3.1
Teleop2.7
End3.7
Third
8266
#37
1.30.9
0.6-0.2
Auto0.2
Teleop-0.6
End1.7
blue by 8.1
7161
#24
9.52.1
7.09.1
Auto3.0
Teleop4.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
8%Hangar oddsMissed11%Hangar oddsMissed