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Red53
76539.7
440019.8
53124.3
Blue50
64834.0
82661.3
347832.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283501020405060705350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4400
#12
19.80.9
15.316.2
Auto6.3
Teleop11.2
End2.2
blue by 12.3
32.01.2
30.031.2
Auto8.0
Teleop17.2
End6.8
Second
7653
#17
9.71.3
8.49.7
Auto3.8
Teleop3.7
End2.2
red by 5.7
6483
#40
4.01.6
2.33.9
Auto1.6
Teleop1.2
End1.1
Third
5312
#34
4.31.1
3.24.3
Auto1.3
Teleop0.4
End2.7
red by 3.0
8266
#37
1.31.6
-0.21.3
Auto0.2
Teleop-0.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed18%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
7%Hangar oddsMissed35%Hangar oddsMissed