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Red20
665212.1
70375.0
35276.6
Blue4
87486.4
66063.9
70183.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions172201030405060204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6652
#20
12.10.4
6.87.2
Auto4.2
Teleop6.0
End1.8
red by 5.7
8748
#28
6.41.8
8.87.0
Auto3.7
Teleop1.4
End1.3
Second
3527
#26
6.60.4
6.77.1
Auto1.8
Teleop2.7
End2.1
red by 2.7
6606
#30
3.91.2
3.72.5
Auto1.7
Teleop1.3
End1.0
Third
7037
#15
5.00.4
3.13.5
Auto2.5
Teleop-0.9
End3.5
red by 2.0
7018
#35
3.01.8
7.86.0
Auto1.0
Teleop1.7
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
16%Hangar oddsMissed11%Hangar oddsMissed