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Red81
440019.8
440313.4
68966.5
Blue20
31586.6
473514.1
665212.1
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3636203040506070808120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4400
#12
19.80.8
18.118.8
Auto6.3
Teleop11.2
End2.2
red by 5.6
14.10.4
14.514.1
Auto4.4
Teleop4.2
End5.5
Second
13.40.8
11.712.5
Auto3.4
Teleop7.6
End2.3
red by 1.3
6652
#20
12.10.4
12.512.1
Auto4.2
Teleop6.0
End1.8
Third
6896
#33
6.50.9
4.55.4
Auto3.6
Teleop2.5
End0.3
blue by 0.1
3158
#19
6.60.4
7.06.6
Auto1.1
Teleop4.0
End1.6