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Red55
572723.7
264216.7
345911.9
Blue44
650221.0
90019.2
122510.1
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions545540506070805544

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.70.1
23.523.6
Auto4.9
Teleop15.6
End3.2
red by 2.7
21.00.2
21.221.0
Auto4.8
Teleop15.6
End0.7
Second
16.70.1
16.516.6
Auto4.4
Teleop5.8
End6.5
blue by 2.4
900
#2
19.20.2
19.419.1
Auto4.0
Teleop5.5
End9.8
Third
3459
#25
11.90.1
11.611.7
Auto3.3
Teleop4.7
End3.8
red by 1.8
1225
#27
10.10.2
10.310.0
Auto4.7
Teleop4.2
End1.2