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Red69
650221.0
90019.2
122510.1
Blue0
350615.5
551115.1
872712.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48440206080100690

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.00.1
19.219.3
Auto4.8
Teleop15.6
End0.7
red by 5.5
3506
#15DQ
15.50.3
14.915.2
Auto4.3
Teleop7.9
End3.4
Second
900
#2
19.20.1
17.317.4
Auto4.0
Teleop5.5
End9.8
red by 4.1
5511
#12DQ
15.10.3
14.514.8
Auto4.4
Teleop8.5
End2.3
Third
1225
#27
10.10.1
8.28.3
Auto4.7
Teleop4.2
End1.2
blue by 2.8
8727
#23DQ
12.90.3
12.212.6
Auto2.2
Teleop3.9
End6.8