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Red68
519017.4
153323.5
56796.7
Blue21
551810.0
264010.0
688813.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54330204060801006821

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.50.3
23.824.1
Auto5.8
Teleop13.6
End4.1
red by 10.5
6888
#14
13.00.3
13.313.0
Auto2.6
Teleop5.4
End5.1
Second
17.40.3
17.618.0
Auto5.4
Teleop5.5
End6.5
red by 7.4
2640
#10
10.00.3
10.310.0
Auto3.1
Teleop0.7
End6.2
Third
5679
#22
6.70.3
6.97.3
Auto2.1
Teleop0.5
End4.0
blue by 3.3
5518
#11
10.00.3
10.310.0
Auto2.8
Teleop7.9
End-0.7