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Red62
153323.5
429016.3
789018.6
Blue29
519017.4
872712.9
551115.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383001020506070806229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.53.0
13.816.8
Auto5.8
Teleop13.6
End4.1
red by 6.1
17.40.0
13.913.9
Auto5.4
Teleop5.5
End6.5
Second
18.63.0
12.215.2
Auto3.7
Teleop11.0
End3.9
red by 3.5
5511
#12
15.10.0
8.98.9
Auto4.4
Teleop8.5
End2.3
Third
16.33.0
8.711.8
Auto3.5
Teleop8.5
End4.3
red by 3.4
8727
#23
12.90.0
6.56.5
Auto2.2
Teleop3.9
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsEarned7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsEarned20%Hangar oddsMissed