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Red45
493511.2
264216.7
429016.3
Blue13
519017.4
38223.5
265513.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383102060801004513

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.70.7
11.912.6
Auto4.4
Teleop5.8
End6.5
blue by 0.7
17.41.9
13.912.0
Auto5.4
Teleop5.5
End6.5
Second
16.31.2
11.812.9
Auto3.5
Teleop8.5
End4.3
red by 2.4
2655
#16
13.91.9
9.17.3
Auto4.1
Teleop5.9
End3.8
Third
4935
#18
11.21.2
10.711.9
Auto4.2
Teleop2.5
End4.5
red by 7.7
3822
#29
3.51.9
6.74.9
Auto3.1
Teleop0.7
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsEarned18%Hangar oddsMissed