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Red60
482818.0
551810.0
264216.7
Blue37
58715.8
493511.2
693214.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47362060806037

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.01.5
15.216.7
Auto5.6
Teleop7.1
End5.3
red by 2.3
587
#19
15.80.2
13.513.7
Auto3.8
Teleop4.3
End7.6
Second
16.70.9
12.813.7
Auto4.4
Teleop5.8
End6.5
red by 2.0
6932
#13
14.80.2
10.410.6
Auto3.1
Teleop8.8
End2.9
Third
5518
#11
10.01.5
14.716.2
Auto2.8
Teleop7.9
End-0.7
blue by 1.2
4935
#18
11.20.2
11.611.7
Auto4.2
Teleop2.5
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
56%Hangar oddsEarned26%Hangar oddsMissed