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Red53
90019.2
551115.1
319615.2
Blue32
572723.7
69082.8
58715.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454430405060705332

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
900
#2
19.21.3
17.118.4
Auto4.0
Teleop5.5
End9.8
blue by 4.5
23.71.0
22.721.7
Auto4.9
Teleop15.6
End3.2
Second
3196
#17
15.21.3
11.612.8
Auto3.7
Teleop5.4
End6.2
blue by 0.6
587
#19
15.81.5
16.515.0
Auto3.8
Teleop4.3
End7.6
Third
5511
#12
15.10.8
12.313.1
Auto4.4
Teleop8.5
End2.3
red by 12.4
6908
#21
2.81.0
3.12.2
Auto1.7
Teleop1.1
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed23%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
52%Hangar oddsEarned22%Hangar oddsEarned