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Red32
153323.5
38223.5
493511.2
Blue41
122510.1
789018.6
66394.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403001020506070803241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.50.5
22.722.2
Auto5.8
Teleop13.6
End4.1
red by 4.9
18.61.2
17.718.8
Auto3.7
Teleop11.0
End3.9
Second
4935
#18
11.20.5
10.09.5
Auto4.2
Teleop2.5
End4.5
red by 1.1
1225
#27
10.11.2
7.18.2
Auto4.7
Teleop4.2
End1.2
Third
3822
#29
3.50.5
3.83.4
Auto3.1
Teleop0.7
End-0.3
blue by 1.4
6639
#26
4.91.2
5.06.2
Auto1.4
Teleop3.7
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
12%Hangar oddsMissed36%Hangar oddsMissed