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Red14
493511.2
56796.7
650221.0
Blue44
88338.0
265513.9
429016.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443410203040506070801444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.02.3
19.817.5
Auto4.8
Teleop15.6
End0.7
red by 4.8
16.31.0
12.413.4
Auto3.5
Teleop8.5
End4.3
Second
4935
#18
11.22.3
9.47.1
Auto4.2
Teleop2.5
End4.5
blue by 2.7
2655
#16
13.91.0
14.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop5.9
End3.8
Third
5679
#22
6.72.3
10.58.2
Auto2.1
Teleop0.5
End4.0
blue by 1.4
8833
#24
8.01.0
5.86.7
Auto2.8
Teleop3.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed9%Hangar oddsMissed