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Red52
572723.7
551115.1
650221.0
Blue25
551810.0
66394.9
265513.9
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions613202040801005225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.70.6
22.121.5
Auto4.9
Teleop15.6
End3.2
red by 9.9
2655
#16
13.90.7
15.614.9
Auto4.1
Teleop5.9
End3.8
Second
21.00.8
17.516.7
Auto4.8
Teleop15.6
End0.7
red by 11.1
5518
#11
10.00.7
12.111.5
Auto2.8
Teleop7.9
End-0.7
Third
5511
#12
15.10.6
13.913.3
Auto4.4
Teleop8.5
End2.3
red by 10.2
6639
#26
4.90.7
5.64.9
Auto1.4
Teleop3.7
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
42%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsMissed9%Hangar oddsMissed