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Red23
319615.2
56796.7
265513.9
Blue28
38223.5
80304.3
551115.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions411801030506070802328

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3196
#17
15.21.0
13.312.3
Auto3.7
Teleop5.4
End6.2
red by 0.1
5511
#12
15.10.5
13.313.8
Auto4.4
Teleop8.5
End2.3
Second
2655
#16
13.90.9
14.914.0
Auto4.1
Teleop5.9
End3.8
red by 9.6
8030
#28
4.30.6
3.74.3
Auto0.3
Teleop3.3
End0.7
Third
5679
#22
6.70.9
7.16.1
Auto2.1
Teleop0.5
End4.0
red by 3.2
3822
#29
3.50.6
2.93.5
Auto3.1
Teleop0.7
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed4%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsMissed5%Hangar oddsMissed