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Red44
789018.6
264010.0
493511.2
Blue20
345911.9
68948.7
872712.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2930202535404420

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.61.8
10.412.2
Auto3.7
Teleop11.0
End3.9
red by 5.7
8727
#23
12.90.9
7.46.5
Auto2.2
Teleop3.9
End6.8
Second
4935
#18
11.21.8
10.212.0
Auto4.2
Teleop2.5
End4.5
blue by 0.6
3459
#25
11.90.9
9.58.7
Auto3.3
Teleop4.7
End3.8
Third
2640
#10
10.01.8
7.18.9
Auto3.1
Teleop0.7
End6.2
red by 1.3
6894
#20
8.70.9
11.110.2
Auto3.2
Teleop3.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsMissed18%Hangar oddsMissed