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Red64
572723.7
264216.7
345911.9
Blue46
482818.0
789018.6
68948.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56472040801006446

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.70.2
23.623.7
Auto4.9
Teleop15.6
End3.2
red by 5.1
18.60.1
18.718.6
Auto3.7
Teleop11.0
End3.9
Second
16.70.2
16.616.8
Auto4.4
Teleop5.8
End6.5
blue by 1.3
18.00.1
18.118.0
Auto5.6
Teleop7.1
End5.3
Third
3459
#25
11.90.2
11.711.9
Auto3.3
Teleop4.7
End3.8
red by 3.2
6894
#20
8.70.1
8.88.7
Auto3.2
Teleop3.5
End2.0