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Final 12022 FIRST North Carolina District State Championship
Red117
153343.9
58735.4
345918.1
Blue114
479542.1
482937.9
205917.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1051048090100110120130140117114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1533
#3
43.90.3
44.0→44.3
Auto11.2
Teleop26.9
End5.8
red by 1.8
4795
#7
42.10.3
42.3→42.6
Auto11.0
Teleop24.7
End6.3
Second
587
#1
35.40.3
35.5→35.8
Auto6.3
Teleop17.1
End12.0
blue by 2.6
4829
#2
37.90.3
38.2→38.4
Auto9.9
Teleop15.9
End12.1
Third
3459
#14
18.10.3
18.3→18.6
Auto5.2
Teleop4.5
End8.5
red by 0.4
2059
#17
17.80.3
18.0→18.3
Auto6.6
Teleop3.7
End7.4