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Red64
863414.7
322923.3
650021.4
Blue127
482937.9
551120.7
153343.9
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions549120408010012014064127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3229
#28
23.30.6
16.617.2
Auto8.2
Teleop11.5
End3.5
blue by 20.6
43.92.8
36.239.0
Auto11.2
Teleop26.9
End5.8
Second
6500
#29
21.40.6
24.024.5
Auto4.9
Teleop8.1
End8.4
blue by 16.5
37.92.8
28.030.8
Auto9.9
Teleop15.9
End12.1
Third
8634
#21
14.70.6
15.115.6
Auto2.5
Teleop-0.5
End12.7
blue by 5.9
5511
#12
20.72.8
16.419.2
Auto6.2
Teleop10.8
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed53%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
70%Hangar oddsEarned64%Hangar oddsEarned