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Red50
373722.5
456130.5
863414.7
Blue73
560713.7
479542.1
551120.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69742040601001201401605073

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.51.1
25.824.8
Auto7.4
Teleop13.6
End9.6
blue by 11.5
42.10.3
36.336.6
Auto11.0
Teleop24.7
End6.3
Second
3737
#22
22.51.1
24.323.2
Auto4.4
Teleop9.0
End9.1
red by 1.8
5511
#12
20.70.3
19.219.5
Auto6.2
Teleop10.8
End3.6
Third
8634
#21
14.71.1
15.614.6
Auto2.5
Teleop-0.5
End12.7
red by 1.1
5607
#27
13.70.3
13.613.8
Auto4.1
Teleop7.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
48%Cargo oddsMissed60%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
80%Hangar oddsMissed23%Hangar oddsMissed