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Red87
479542.1
519018.0
789020.6
Blue109
373722.5
153343.9
264230.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9476406012014016087109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.10.1
36.436.5
Auto11.0
Teleop24.7
End6.3
blue by 1.8
43.92.1
34.937.0
Auto11.2
Teleop26.9
End5.8
Second
7890
#23
20.60.1
27.527.6
Auto3.9
Teleop10.2
End6.5
blue by 10.3
30.92.1
16.718.8
Auto7.6
Teleop12.3
End11.0
Third
5190
#25
18.00.1
22.022.1
Auto4.3
Teleop7.5
End6.2
blue by 4.5
3737
#22
22.52.1
22.224.3
Auto4.4
Teleop9.0
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
59%Cargo oddsEarned66%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
68%Hangar oddsMissed57%Hangar oddsEarned