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Red85
264230.9
350634.4
863414.7
Blue50
33366.9
453425.0
345918.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74470204060801001208550

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.41.3
27.428.7
Auto8.9
Teleop19.9
End5.6
red by 9.3
4534
#13
25.00.1
23.523.4
Auto7.3
Teleop6.9
End10.8
Second
30.91.3
22.123.4
Auto7.6
Teleop12.3
End11.0
red by 12.8
3459
#14
18.10.1
16.516.4
Auto5.2
Teleop4.5
End8.5
Third
8634
#21
14.71.3
16.117.4
Auto2.5
Teleop-0.5
End12.7
red by 7.9
3336
#32
6.90.1
7.37.2
Auto3.0
Teleop1.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
38%Cargo oddsEarned16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
81%Hangar oddsEarned68%Hangar oddsMissed