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Red49
322923.3
560713.7
33366.9
Blue88
872729.4
319622.8
373722.5
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions338002040601001201404988

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3229
#28
23.30.8
17.718.4
Auto8.2
Teleop11.5
End3.5
blue by 6.2
8727
#10
29.41.3
23.925.1
Auto5.8
Teleop13.1
End10.5
Second
5607
#27
13.70.8
12.213.0
Auto4.1
Teleop7.4
End2.2
blue by 9.1
22.81.3
21.622.9
Auto7.7
Teleop5.2
End9.9
Third
3336
#32
6.90.8
7.28.0
Auto3.0
Teleop1.9
End1.9
blue by 15.6
3737
#22
22.51.3
23.725.0
Auto4.4
Teleop9.0
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
25%Cargo oddsMissed66%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
6%Hangar oddsMissed79%Hangar oddsEarned