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Red65
551120.7
863414.7
429019.7
Blue70
688822.1
319622.8
350634.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54702040801001206570

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5511
#12
20.70.5
15.115.7
Auto6.2
Teleop10.8
End3.6
blue by 13.7
34.40.2
28.128.3
Auto8.9
Teleop19.9
End5.6
Second
4290
#19
19.70.5
22.923.4
Auto5.5
Teleop9.7
End4.5
blue by 3.1
22.80.2
16.516.7
Auto7.7
Teleop5.2
End9.9
Third
8634
#21
14.70.5
15.015.6
Auto2.5
Teleop-0.5
End12.7
blue by 7.3
6888
#16
22.10.2
19.119.2
Auto6.8
Teleop7.5
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed31%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsEarned63%Hangar oddsEarned