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Red48
90027.3
33366.9
863414.7
Blue128
153343.9
205917.8
58735.4
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4298020608012014048128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
900
#18
27.30.1
26.526.6
Auto5.4
Teleop10.2
End11.7
blue by 16.6
43.92.3
38.741.1
Auto11.2
Teleop26.9
End5.8
Second
8634
#21
14.70.1
14.514.6
Auto2.5
Teleop-0.5
End12.7
blue by 20.6
587
#1
35.42.3
32.334.6
Auto6.3
Teleop17.1
End12.0
Third
3336
#32
6.90.1
5.96.0
Auto3.0
Teleop1.9
End1.9
blue by 10.9
2059
#17
17.82.3
14.016.3
Auto6.6
Teleop3.7
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed73%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
75%Hangar oddsEarned83%Hangar oddsEarned