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Red64
650021.4
744321.4
265520.0
Blue70
429019.7
345918.1
560713.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7052204060801006470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6500
#29
21.40.0
21.921.9
Auto4.9
Teleop8.1
End8.4
red by 1.7
4290
#19
19.71.0
19.820.8
Auto5.5
Teleop9.7
End4.5
Second
7443
#24
21.40.0
20.920.9
Auto4.6
Teleop13.7
End3.0
red by 3.2
3459
#14
18.11.0
17.918.9
Auto5.2
Teleop4.5
End8.5
Third
2655
#20
20.00.0
20.620.6
Auto5.1
Teleop10.8
End4.2
red by 6.3
5607
#27
13.71.0
13.014.0
Auto4.1
Teleop7.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
68%Cargo oddsEarned53%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
61%Hangar oddsMissed39%Hangar oddsEarned