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Qual 72022 FIRST North Carolina District State Championship
Red78
373722.5
551120.7
650227.8
Blue32
744321.4
350634.4
33366.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73592040801001207832

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6502
#15
27.80.7
27.1→27.8
Auto6.8
Teleop18.7
End2.3
blue by 6.5
3506
#5
34.41.7
28.3→26.6
Auto8.9
Teleop19.9
End5.6
Second
3737
#22
22.50.7
24.3→25.0
Auto4.4
Teleop9.0
End9.1
red by 1.1
7443
#24
21.41.7
22.1→20.4
Auto4.6
Teleop13.7
End3.0
Third
5511
#12
20.70.7
15.7→16.4
Auto6.2
Teleop10.8
End3.6
red by 13.8
3336
#32
6.91.7
6.6→5.0
Auto3.0
Teleop1.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
52%Cargo oddsEarned47%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
15%Hangar oddsEarned14%Hangar oddsMissed