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Semifinal 1-12022 FIRST North Carolina District State Championship
Red105
153343.9
58735.4
345918.1
Blue79
872729.4
350634.4
429019.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10588608010012014016010579

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1533
#3
43.90.2
43.6→43.8
Auto11.2
Teleop26.9
End5.8
red by 9.5
3506
#5
34.40.2
34.7→34.5
Auto8.9
Teleop19.9
End5.6
Second
587
#1
35.40.2
35.1→35.3
Auto6.3
Teleop17.1
End12.0
red by 5.9
8727
#10
29.40.2
29.8→29.6
Auto5.8
Teleop13.1
End10.5
Third
3459
#14
18.10.2
17.9→18.1
Auto5.2
Teleop4.5
End8.5
blue by 1.6
4290
#19
19.70.2
19.9→19.7
Auto5.5
Teleop9.7
End4.5