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Semifinal 1-22022 FIRST North Carolina District State Championship
Red107
153343.9
58735.4
345918.1
Blue78
872729.4
350634.4
688822.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10690608010012014016010778

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1533
#3
43.90.2
43.8→44.0
Auto11.2
Teleop26.9
End5.8
red by 9.5
3506
#5
34.40.2
34.5→34.4
Auto8.9
Teleop19.9
End5.6
Second
587
#1
35.40.2
35.3→35.5
Auto6.3
Teleop17.1
End12.0
red by 5.9
8727
#10
29.40.2
29.6→29.4
Auto5.8
Teleop13.1
End10.5
Third
3459
#14
18.10.2
18.1→18.3
Auto5.2
Teleop4.5
End8.5
blue by 3.9
6888
#16
22.10.2
22.2→22.1
Auto6.8
Teleop7.5
End7.7